In a year that looks pretty good for Democrats, Republicans will be hard-pressed to make a big dent in the Democrats' 15-seat majority in the state House of Representatives.
But that doesn't mean all is lost for the GOP. House District 40 looks virtually certain to return to the Republicans, one year after Debbie Stafford turned rogue and delivered it into Democrats' hands.
There also appear to be a number of close races shaping up, the most interesting of these being House Districts 25, 27, 29, 30, 31, 37, and 56.
Other potentially interesting races include House Districts 17, 33, 39, 52, 55 and 57.
Only competitive state House seats are profiled. Running unopposed are Democrats Beth McCann (state House District 8), Ed Casso (District 32), Nancy Todd (District 41), Sal Pace ( District 46), and Kathleen Curry (District 61). Republicans Steve King (District 54) Ellen Roberts (District 59), and Cory Gardner (District 63) are also running unopposed this year.
1st STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Jeanne Labuda (D-Denver)
Candidates:
Overview: Could Republicans take back the Denver-area seat? Some Democrats are worried. The Denver Post's endorsement of Labuda was about as lukewarm as a political endorsement can get.
What to look for: If Labuda loses, it would be a big wake-up call for Denver-area Democrats who assume consistent voter support.
2nd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Mark Ferrandino (D-Denver)
Candidates:
Overview: Ferrandino, appointed to the seat in 2007, is a rising name in Statehouse Democratic politics. Democrats have a 4-1 voter registration advantage over Republicans in the district, so Ferrandino isn't going anywhere.
What to look for: Where the best hipster Election Night parties are on South Broadway
3rd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Anne MiGihon (D-Denver)
Candidates:
Overview: MiGihon should win re-election in a good Democratic year in a reliably Democratic district.
What to look for: MiGihon's challenge of Bernie Buescher for House Speaker next session. She says she has the votes, though many are skeptical of that claim.
4th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Jerry Frangas (D-Denver)
Candidates:
Overview: Frangas need not worry about re-election, thanks to a 4-1 ratio of registered Democrats to registered Republicans in the district.
What to look for: A Frangas victory
5th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Joel Judd (D-Denver)
Candidates:
Overview: If the race were decided by who could grow the best beard, Swiontek would win in a landslide. But fortunately for Judd, voter registration numbers, money, and name recognition are all solidly in his favor
What to look for: Swiontek continuing to deliver speeches at the Speaker's Corner at Civic Center Park
6th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: Speaker of the House Andrew Romanoff (D-Denver) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: Court and Sharf were the victors of two of the most interesting primary races in the state this August: Court survived a tough three-way primary, while Sharf handily beat Palestinian activist Rima Sinclair after calling her a "terror apologist" and "avowed enemy of Israel." Sharf has worked hard to campaign, but the district - currently held by House Speaker Romanoff - is too Democratic for this to be a truly competitive race.
What to look for: Court to win.
7th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: Assistant House Majority Leader Terrance Carroll (D-Denver)
Candidates:
Overview: Carroll was elected Assistant House Majority Leader this spring largely out of recognition for his ability to raise money and campaign for House Democrats. Raines, a 25-year-old student at the University of Colorado - Denver, served with the U.S. Air Force in Iraq from 2003-2004.
What to look for: Carroll to win.
9th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Alice Borodkin (D-Denver) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: Observers say Miklosi should win easily in this Democratic district
What to look for: A Miklosi victory
10th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: House Majority Leader Alice Madden (D-Boulder) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: Democrats have a solid voter advantage here, and Hullinghorst should win.
What to look for: Hullinghorst to win.
11th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Jack Pommer (D-Boulder)
Candidates:
Overview: Pommer has the incumbency advantage in a Democratic-leaning district.
What to look for: Pommer to win.
12th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Paul Weissmann (D-Louisville)
Candidates:
Overview: The district leans Democratic, though there are a significant number of unaffiliateds. Lucas has received little party or independent support. Weissmann, with an impressive knowledge of parliamentary procedure, is a prominent member of the House Democratic Caucus despite losing his bid to become Assistant House Majority Leader this spring.
What to look for: Weissmann to win
13th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Claire Levy (D-Boulder)
Candidates:
Overview: Levy should win re-election in a heavily Democratic district.
What to look for: A Levy win
14th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Kent Lambert (R-Colorado Springs)
Candidates:
Overview: Lambert's a GOP mainstay in the state legislature, and registered Republicans outnumber registered Democrats in the district almost 3-1.
What to look for: Lambert to win.
15th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Douglas Bruce (R-Colorado Springs) was defeated in the Republican primary election
Candidates:
Overview: Statehouse Democrats and Republicans alike breathed a sigh of relief when Waller beat the curmudgeonly Douglas Bruce in the August primary. Waller should have little trouble on Tuesday in a district where Republicans have a greater than 2-1 voter registration advantage.
What to look for: Bruce's next step. Does he want a rematch with Waller in 2010, or will he move to the 19th District to take on Marsha Looper, as has been rumored?
16th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Larry Liston (R-Colorado Springs)
Candidates:
Overview: Despite the occasional gaffe - such as calling unwed teenage mothers "sluts" during a House GOP caucus meeting this spring - Liston should have little problem winning re-election in this Republican-leaning district.
What to look for: Liston to win despite losing the unwed teenage mother vote
17th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Stella Garza Hicks (D-Denver) is not seeking re-election
Candidates:
Overview: It's the only Colorado Springs-area seat where Democrats have anything close to a realistic chance of taking a Republican-held state House seat. Registered Democrats actually outnumber registered Republicans in the district 9,346-8,041, though unaffiliated voters make up 38 percent of registered voters there and Republican Mark Cloer easily held the district until Garza Hicks was appointed as his successor in 2006. Fort Carson Army base is within the district, resulting in a significant numbers of transient voters. It could be the dark horse race of the campaign to watch on Election Night.
What to look for: Obama's coattails. Apuan will need support from unaffiliateds and non-native military personnel who might not be looking at local races.
18th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Michael Merrifield (D-Colorado Springs)
Candidates:
Overview: Merrifield has survived everything Republicans could have thrown at him in previous elections, and even GOP officials concede he's not going anywhere this year.
What to look for: Continued Republican annoyance at a Democrat holding a state House seat in Colorado Springs
19th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Marsha Looper (R-Calhan)
Candidates:
Overview: During her first term, Looper drew the most attention for sponsoring a guest worker program
What to look for:
20th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Amy Stephens (R-Monument)
Candidates:
Overview: Stephens should hold onto her seat, thanks to a 4-1 registered Republican advantage over registered Democrats in the district
What to look for: Stephens to win
21st STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Bob Gardner (R-Colorado Springs)
Candidates:
Overview: Democrats have talked up Lord, but the district is too Republican for her to win in.
What to look for: Gardner to win.
22nd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Ken Summers (R-Lakewood)
Candidates:
Overview: Ryckman has posed a surprisingly strong challenge to Summers in a slightly GOP-leaning district. The two are about even in fundraising,
What to look for: Ryckman has an outside chance of an upset.
23rd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Gwyn Green (D-Golden)
Candidates:
Overview:
What to look for:
24th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Cheri Jahn (D-Wheat Ridge) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: Schafer, who squeaked by primary opponent Dave Ruchman by 17 votes in August, has the advantage in money and voter registration numbers.
What to look for: Schafer should win by a more comfortable margin this time around.
25th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Rob Witwer (R-Evergreen) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: Democrats have had their eye on stealing this politically moderate district from Republican hands, but observers say Gerou has the upper hand.
What to look for: An outside chance of a Scripter victory, if everything goes the Democrats' way
26th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Andy Kerr (D-Lakewood)
Candidates:
Overview: Kerr has a large fundraising advantage in a traditionally Democratic-leaning district.
What to look for: Kerr to win.
27th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Sara Gagliardi (D-Arvada)
Candidates:
Overview: There's been a bit of worry about Gagliardi, though Democrats have been more confident in this race as of late.
What to look for: An outside chance of an upset by Bodnar
28th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Jim Kerr (D-Littleton)
Candidates:
Overview: Kerr should be re-elected in this GOP-leaning district
What to look for: A Kerr win
29th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Debbie Benefield (D-Arvada)
Candidates:
Overview: Democrats and Republicans are about even in the district, but few are worried that Benefield is in trouble.
What to look for: Benefield to win.
30th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Mary Hodge (D-Brighton) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: Observers say Rose isn't the best campaigner, though as an elementary school principal he's known to many voters from their childhood. The two are running about even in fundraising.
What to look for: A potentially close race.
31st STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Judy Solano (D-Brighton)
Candidates:
Overview: There's been talk of an upset, though most observers predict Solano will hold onto the seat.
What to look for: A possibility of an upset
33rd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Dianne Primavera (D-Broomfield)
Candidates:
Overview: Primavera narrowly won in 2006 over Bill Berens, but few express worry that she's in trouble this year. But Democratic mailers sent out last month call Kliebenstein's health care plan the "Worst. Idea. Ever." - an attack Kliebenstein says shows concern among Democrats about his candidacy. Primavera has raised a little more than $100,000 for the campaign - three times what Kliebenstein. Registered Republicans narrowly outnumber registered Democrats in the district.
What to look for: An outside chance of an upset. But when Primavera was elected in 2006, Republicans chalked the victory up to a bad year for the GOP. This election cycle looks even worse for the Republicans.
34th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. John Soper (D-Thornton)
Candidates:
Overview: Soper, who won uncontested in 2006, should get another win this year.
What to look for: Soper to win.
35th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Cherylin Peniston (D-Westminster)
Candidates:
Overview: Gimer's Secretary of State financial report shows he has raised literally no money for his campaign. Democrats outnumber Republicans in the district 2-1, and Gimer has said he's only running to keep Peniston from being elected unopposed.
What to look for: A no-sweat victory for Peniston
36th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Morgan Carroll (D-Aurora) is running for state Senate
Candidates:
Overview: Ryden should win this race given the district's Democratic leanings.
What to look for: Ryden to win.
37th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Spencer Swalm (R-Centennial)
Candidates:
Overview: Democrats really wanted another shot at Swalm after Angela Engel lost to Swalm in 2006 by less than 800 votes. Holland's a stronger candidate than Engel, Gov. Bill Ritter held a fundraiser for her (the only fundraiser Ritter has attended on behalf of a state House candidate facing an incumbent this year), and it's a Democratic year overall. But even Democrats are privately conceding that all these factors likely won't be enough for Holland to overcome the district's GOP leanings.
What to look for: Swalm to win.
38th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Joe Rice (D-Littleton)
Candidates:
Overview: The district favors Republicans, but Rice is popular and is likely to win. Rice, a U.S. Army reserve officer, returned to the legislature in February from his third tour of duty in Iraq.
What to look for: A Rice victory.
39th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: Assistant Minority Leader David Balmer (R-Centennial)
Candidates:
Overview: Balmer is likely, but not guaranteed, to win. Some Democrats feel Cullom has a shot at toppling the assistant House minority leader, but it would be quite an achievement given Balmer's incumbency and the district's GOP leanings.
What to look for: Even if Balmer can pull out a victory, he may soon face another battle within the House GOP caucus next session to keep his leadership post.
40th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Debbie Stafford (D-Aurora) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: The seat is the only sure Republican pickup of Democratic state House seat this year. The only reason the Democrats held the GOP-leaning district in the first place is that Stafford switched over from the Republican Party in the fall of 2007.
What to look for: A really, really optimistic Democrat who doesn't think the GOP will take this seat back. There's gotta be a few out there somewhere.
42nd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Morgan Carroll (D-Aurora) is running for state Senate
Candidates:
Overview: The seat opened up unexpectedly as part of the musical chairs that took place following former state Rep. Michael Garcia's departure from politics following allegations in February that he exposed himself to a female lobbyist. The district is solidly Democratic, and Middleton has name ID from running for SBOE.
What to look for: An easy win for Middleton.
43rd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Frank McNulty (R-Highlands Ranch)
Candidates:
Overview: Republicans have few more reliable strongholds in Colorado than in Highlands Ranch. McNulty has been one of the GOP's more visible legislators, and shouldn't face any problems this year.
What to look for: A McNulty victory - though it's hard to predict the same for his electoral referendum, Amendment 52.
44th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: House Minority Leader Mike May (R-Parker)
Candidates:
Overview: May has nothing to worry about from Tokerud in a solidly Republican district.
What to look for:
45th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Victor Mitchell (R-Castle Rock) declined to seek re-election
Candidates:
Overview: During the Democratic National Convention, Assistant House Majority Leader Terrance Carroll talked of Gorman winning over Murray. But Carroll's since become less enthusiastic about taking the seat - understandable as half the voters in the district are registered Republicans. Gorman was endorsed by the Denver Post, but Murray has name recognition in populous DougCo from her time as clerk and recorder.
What to look for: A Murray victory
47th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Buffie McFayden (D-Pueblo West)
Candidates:
Overview: McFayden is expected to win re-election over political unknown Sammons.
What to look for: A win for McFayden
48th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Glenn Vaad (R-Mead)
Candidates:
Overview: It's a safe Republican district, and Vaad has the support needed to win re-election.
What to look for: Vaad to win
49th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Kevin Lundberg (R-Berthoud)
Candidates:
Overview: Three-term incumbent Lundberg should win a fourth term in this GOP-leaning district.
What to look for: Lundberg to win.
50th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Jim Riesberg (D-Greeley)
Candidates:
Overview: Riesberg got 58 percent of the vote in 2006, and there's little reason to believe he won't get a similar victory this year. Greeley has been ground zero for a deluge of Democratic canvassing and advertising for top-ticket Democratic candidates Barack Obama, Mark Udall and Betsy Markey, and Riesberg could grab on to some coattails.
What to look for: A Riesberg victory
51st STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Don Marostica (R-Loveland)
Candidates:
Overview: Marostica has outraised Bennett 8-1 and shouldn't have any trouble being elected to a second term.
What to look for: If hard economic times will increase support Marostica's proposal for a four-day work week for state employees
52nd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. John Kefalas (D-Fort Collins)
Candidates:
Overview: It's the third race in a row between Kefalas and McCluskey for the seat: McCluskey won in 2004, and Kefalas took the seat in 2006. Kefalas has had union help and will also get a significant boost from GOTV efforts on behalf of higher-profile Democrats Barack Obama, Mark Udall and Betsy Markey. McCluskey doesn't have to worry about name recognition thanks to his long political career.
What to look for: Kefalas to win the rubber match between himself and McCluskey.
53rd STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Randy Fischer (D-Fort Collins)
Candidates:
Overview: Few see any problems with Fischer being re-elected.
What to look for: A Fischer win.
55th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Bernie Buescher (D-Grand Junction)
Candidates:
Overview: Bradford's the strongest candidate to face Buescher for the seat, but Republicans were expecting more from her to unseat Buescher, who if re-elected will likely become Speaker of the House next session. Bradford needs a big turnout from the GOP base of Clifton.
What to look for: Speaker of the House Bernie Buescher in 2009.
56th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Christine Scanlan (D-Dillon)
Candidates:
Overview: Scanlan hasn't run a particularly energetic campaign - at least compared to Hasan, who has knocked on (by his campaign's estimate) more than 20,000 doors and has spent more than $250,000 of his family's money on the race. Scanlan, who was appointed to the seat in 2007, doesn't have the name recognition an incumbent would normally enjoy. Hasan's soap-opera antics have made him a novelty to many political observers.
What to look for: A much more interesting session next year if Hasan is elected.
57th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Al White (R-Hayden) is term-limited
Candidates:
Overview: Hagenbuch is a fourth-generation rancher and is known around the district. But with White's popularity, turnout for his Senate District 8 race will help Baumgardner. Also, the Western Slope is one of a limited number of areas where John McCain will provide coattails down the ticket.
What to look for: A small chance of an upset, but a likely victory by Baumgardner
58th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
OPEN SEAT: State Rep. Ray Rose (R-Montrose) is not seeking re-election
Candidates:
Overview: Scott Tipton has money and name recognition from running against U.S. Rep. John Salazar (D-Manassa) in 2006. But Hagan has a strong base in Montrose, the district's population center.
What to look for: Turnout in Montrose County - Hagan will need it to remain competitive
60th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Tom Massey (R-Poncha Springs)
Candidates:
Overview: Massey should be easily re-elected in this reliably Republican district
What to look for:
62st STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Rafael Gallegos (D-Antonito)
Candidates:
Overview: Six months ago, Gallegos' re-election chances seemed all but certain. Then he got whipped at the House District 64 assembly, and then missed the deadline to petition his way onto the August primary ballot. Meanwhile, Rocky White, the overwhelming winner of the HD-62 caucus, lost to Vigil in the Democratic primary.
Gallegos is now campaigning as a write-in candidate, and Republicans are helping him out in an attempt to split support for Vigil in this solidly Democratic district.
What to look for: A Vigil victory. Gallegos is done.
64th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Wes McKinley (D-Walsh)
Candidates:
Overview: Over the summer, some Republicans got excited by the prospect of Torres knocking off Eastern Plains poster child McKinley. But Republicans have largely given up on those hopes. Torres is fairly popular in Las Animas County, but he's not well-known elsewhere and is short on cash.
What to look for: McKinley will be re-elected.
65th STATE HOUSE DISTRICT
Incumbent: State Rep. Jerry Sonnenberg (R-Sterling)
Candidates:
Overview: It's a competitive race in name only. Conn is running to provide a learning experience for his high school students and so Sonnenberg wouldn't run opposed for a second straight term.
What to look for: A good civics lesson and a Sonnenberg victory
CORRECTION: An earlier version of this story stated, in error, that state Rep. Rosemary Marshall is the current state representative in House District 13. Claire Levy is the incumbent in House District 13.
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